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How the Invasion is Impacting...

Tuesday, Mar 1, 2022

How the Invasion is Impacting...

📊 The Economy: The Russian ruble fell ~30% against the US dollar yesterday before recovering some ground after Russia’s central bank raised interest rates from 9.5% to 20%. One ruble is now worth less than $0.01, a record low. 

  • JPMorgan estimates the Russian economy will contract by ~20% this quarter compared to last.

⛽️ Oil & Gas: Oil prices rose nearly 5% yesterday to reach ~$98.50 per barrel, less than one week after hitting $100 per barrel for the first time since 2014. The average US price for a gallon of gas has risen 10 cents over the past two weeks, currently clocking in at $3.64 per gallon.

⚽️🌏 Sports: FIFA and UEFA suspended Russia’s national and club teams from all international competition “until further notice” yesterday; if the suspension extends into Russia’s World Cup qualifier match against Poland on March 24, the team would be excluded from the tournament. 

  • Separately, the IOC recommended that all international governing bodies “not invite or allow the participation of Russian and Belarusian athletes and officials.”

📉📈 Markets: The Moscow Exchange was closed on Monday – and the Bank of Russia announced it will stay closed today, too. As of last Thursday, Russian billionaires had lost more than $126 billion over the preceding eight days. 

  • US markets swung up and down several times yesterday, leaving the major indexes with mixed results. (Dow: -0.5% | S&P: -0.2% | Nasdaq: +0.4%)
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  • The country also called up military reservists between the ages of 18 and 60 and enacted a measure allowing all citizens to carry firearms. Zelensky has said he’ll invoke martial law if Russian troops advance any further into the country.
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