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A La NiƱa global cooling event is on the horizon

Friday, Mar 15, 2024

Image: NOAA

Earth’s climate is having a David Bowie moment – going through some ch-ch-ch-ch-changes.

The ongoing global warming event known as El NiƱo will likely transition into its opposite event, La NiƱa, sometime during the upcoming months, per new data from the National Weather Service.

Background: El NiƱo and La NiƱa are opposing terms used to describe the natural climate cycle that occurs in the Pacific Ocean, where water surface temperatures shift between significantly hotter than average (El NiƱo) and significantly colder than average (La NiƱa) every few years.

Both weather events have a major impact on US climate systems. La NiƱa is associated with colder/wetter conditions in the North and warmer/drier conditions across the South, while El NiƱo’s effect is the exact opposite.

  • La NiƱa also contributes to slightly cooler global temperatures, and increases the risk of an unusually dangerous Atlantic hurricane season.
  • On the flip side, El NiƱo boosts global temperatures and suppresses Atlantic hurricane activity.

šŸ‘€ Looking ahead… According to the National Weather Services’ updated outlook, there’s an 83% chance that the ongoing El NiƱo event will fade away into neutral temperature conditions between April and June of this year, and an 82% chance that a La NiƱa cooling event will emerge to replace it by the end of October.

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