In your opinion, what’s the likelihood that the India-Pakistan conflict will escalate to a full war in the next six months?

Very likely (16%) – "Both India and Pakistan have been at this conflict for a very long time. Nothing Trump does or tries to do will change that."

Somewhat likely (28%) – "Based on current geo-political moods and the fact that pilgrims to a holy site were targeted makes this a "hot-button" issue which required a clear indication that the atttack was "a very bad idea"."

• "Two different religions with lots of zealots, one seemingly harboring extremists that have Allah on their side, and nuclear weapons on both sides."

"Kashmir will continue to be a problem between Pakistan and India so flare-ups are likely."

Somewhat unlikely (26%) – "I don't know details of everything going on in that region but it seems like these are relatively level-headed adults who are willing to talk through what a way forward looks like without resorting to bombing the life out of each others' countries. Modern-day war and devastation has been put center stage for the entire world to see with the Russia/Ukraine and Israel/Hamas situations and any leader who would CHOOSE that for their people when offered a peaceful way forward is just asking for it at this point. I also think there may be a small part in the back of each country's minds asking 'would the US back us in this war or would they back the other side?' and that is reason enough to consider peace instead of taking a gamble."

• "The fact that both parties are hyping up their responses is a good thing; they've drummed their chests and saved face. Pair that with the facts that they've both agreed to negotiate (very quickly, as these things go) and that the ceasefire held DESPITE some early violations? That's a very promising start. It's still just a start, though; it'll be an uphill battle and further skirmishes could break out on a dime. The goal is to prevent the larger conflict and I think what's happened already is, again, very promising."

Very unlikely (17%) – "Really nothing of substance to gain from either side. They will continue the posturing game and pretend it matters."

Unsure/other (13%) – "I don't know enough about the history between India and Pakistan to say whether war is on the horizon or not."