Image: David L. Ryan/Boston Globe/Shutterstock
First came declining birth rates. Then came vouchers. Now public schools are losing students—and the money that comes with them. With budgets on the line, some districts are doing what any startup would: hiring professional help to chase leads.
Public districts are increasingly partnering with consultants who specialize in enrollment recovery, a niche that didn’t exist a decade ago.
Why families are walking: The exodus isn’t just about politics or preference—it’s about fit, trust, and voice. Families cite safety worries, lack of individualized support, and feeling "disconnected and unheard," prompting a switch to a more attentive alternative.
Big picture: Public K-12 enrollment is expected to fall to ~46.9 million by 2031, an ~8% drop from 2019 (minus ~4 million students), according to projections from the National Center for Education Statistics.
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