šŸ’¬ Discussion

The latest inflation report was released yesterday

Friday, Oct 14, 2022

Image: CBC

The Consumer Price Index (CPI), America’s most widely-used measure of inflation, rose 8.2% in September from the same month a year ago, the Labor Department reported yesterday. That’s down slightly from 8.3% in August and 9.1% in June, which was the highest rate in 40 years.

šŸ”¢ By the numbers… On a month-to-month basis, the CPI rose 0.4% in September (vs. 0.1% in August). The core index – which excludes often volatile food and energy prices – was even higher for the month, rising 0.6%. On a yearly basis, core inflation rose 6.6%, the biggest annual gain since 1982.

  • The highest monthly increases were seen in transportation (+1.9%), medical care (+1.0%), food (+0.9%), and shelter (+0.8%), the last of which is weighted to make up about one-third of the entire CPI.
  • These increases more than offset monthly declines in prices for energy (-2.1%), used cars and trucks (-1.1%), and apparel (-0.1%).

šŸ“‰šŸ“ˆ The market reacts: All three major US indexes fell by 1.5%–3% when trading officially began this morning, exactly one hour after the CPI was released.

  • But then, markets began trending back up, maintaining that trajectory for the rest of the day – to the surprise of many analysts. (Dow: +2.8% | S&P: +2.6% | Nasdaq: +2.2%)

šŸ‘€ Looking ahead… The Federal Reserve’s policy-making committee is expected to raise interest rates by at least 0.75% for the fourth straight time when it meets early next month.

šŸ“Š Flash poll: In your opinion, what’s the most important problem facing America today?

Inflation

Violent crime

Climate change

Health care affordability

Inequality

School quality/education

Other

See a 360° view of what the media is saying →

Democratic donkey symbol

Sprinkles from the Left

  • Some commentators argue that the latest inflation report is a sign that the Fed should double down on interest rate hikes and pull out all the stops before inflation runs away for good.
    • Others contend that the central bank is nowhere near ā€˜overkill’ when it comes to raising rates, with the extraordinary thing being not how high rates have been increasing, but rather how low they still are after five straight jumps.
Republican elephant symbol

Sprinkles from the Right

  • Some commentators argue that inflation is essentially a tax on poorer Americans, whose paychecks almost certainly aren’t keeping up with 8%-9% annual inflation, and bodes poorly for Democrats in the upcoming midterm elections.
    • Others contend that the main driver of inflation is the enormous Democrat-backed spending bills enacted by President Biden over the course of his term in office.
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