We’re now entering year three of the Biden Administration
Image: Greg Nash/The Hill
It’s been two years to the day since President Biden first took office. What does America think of his presidency so far?
👇 Polls, polls, and more polls… RealClearPolitics’ polling average shows Biden’s approval rating has been trending upwards over the past six-plus months, after reaching an all-time low of 36.8% last summer.
Image: RCP
Similarly, FiveThirtyEight’s polling numbers show a gradual increase in Biden’s approval rating since late July. Both sites combine data from hundreds of independent polls.
Image: FiveThirtyEight
🔢 More recently, though… President Biden’s approval rating is trending in a negative direction. A Reuters-Ipsos poll published yesterday found it currently stands at 40%, near the lowest mark of his presidency. And a Quinnipiac poll published Wednesday pegs Biden’s approval rating at 36%, down from 40% in mid-December.
As for what’s driving the trend? Here’s a bit of timeline context: though both surveys were officially published this week, they were conducted in the midst of news breaking about the discovery of classified documents at Biden’s former office and his Delaware home.
- Polling conducted just prior to the classified docs news breaking showed Biden’s approval rating over 44% for the first time since fall 2021.
👀 Looking ahead… According to multiple sources, President Biden plans to announce his candidacy for the upcoming 2024 election “not long after” the State of the Union address, which takes place on February 7.
- In a hypothetical matchup with former President Trump – the only person to announce their candidacy so far – Biden leads by a 48% to 41% margin, per a nationwide poll conducted this month for the conservative Club for Growth.
- The poll also found Biden trailing Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, 42% to 45%.
📊 Flash poll: What do you think about President Biden’s job performance over his first two years?
See a 360° view of what media pundits are saying →
Sprinkles from the Left
- Some commentators argue that things are looking up for Biden’s popularity, with inflation continuing to slow and Americans getting a closer look at internal Republican dysfunction.
- Others contend that Biden was handed a political gift when MAGA-aligned House Republicans were recently assigned to the government oversight committee, as they’ll provide ammo over the next two years for Biden to appear unfairly persecuted.
- “Will there be a Biden comeback?” –Paul Krugman, NY Times
- “Biden is reveling in his stark contrast with the MAGA crazies” –Jennifer Rubin, WaPo
- “Biden Against the Wounded Extremists” –David Brooks, NY Times
Sprinkles from the Right
- Some commentators argue that President Biden’s age presents a near-insurmountable challenge to his 2024 prospects, when he’d be running for president at the age of 82, and would likely lose to a solid GOP candidate.
- Others contend that President Biden has been lucky so far with weak Republican candidates in the 2020 and 2022 elections, and his failures so far outweigh his accomplishments in office.
- “Will There Be a Biden Comeback?” –Ross Douthat, NY Times
- “Biden Bets It All on Republican Failure” –Karl Rove, WSJ
- “Biden is trapped in an uncertain domain” –Dr. Imran Khalid, The Manila Times
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