The 2024 presidential race is taking shape
Image: Indiana Daily Student
Mark your calendars – the 2024 presidential cycle has an official start date.
The Republican Party of Iowa over the weekend announced plans to host its first-in-the-nation presidential caucus on January 15 (Martin Luther King Jr. Day), during which the state’s GOP voters will cast a ballot for their favorite candidate.
And much like that one neighbor with Christmas lights up in September, campaigning in Iowa has gotten off to an early start. A half-dozen GOP candidates appeared at events in the Hawkeye State last week – and Florida First Lady Casey DeSantis hosted her own solo event in Iowa as well.
Overall, more than 270 people have filed federal paperwork to run for the Republican nomination in 2024. But the vast majority of these candidates typically don’t appear on any ballots, raise any money, or otherwise attempt to run a campaign.
There are currently six Republican presidential candidates with at least 3% support among GOP voters, per FiveThirtyEight’s poll aggregator:
- Former President Donald Trump (52%)
- Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (23%)
- Former VP Mike Pence (6%)
- Former biotech exec Vivek Ramaswamy (4%)
- Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley (4%)
- South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott (4%)
🔵 On the Democratic side… President Biden officially announced his reelection bid in April. Two political activists with no elected experience – Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Marianne Williamson – have also thrown their hats into the ring, but the DNC has committed to supporting Biden’s reelection and isn’t planning to sponsor any primary debates for 2024.
- Biden is currently polling slightly behind former President Trump, and slightly ahead (or better) compared to all other GOP candidates.
👀 Looking ahead… The first Republican presidential debate is scheduled for August 23 in Milwaukee, though it's currently unclear which GOP candidates will participate.
đź“Š Flash poll: If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for?
See a 360° view of what media pundits are saying →
Sprinkles from the Left
- Some commentators argue that the odds of a Biden vs. Trump rematch in 2024 are actually lower than most people think, since both candidates are one viral video away from being judged as “too old” to run by the general public.
- Others contend that “centrist” third parties like the No Labels party will only hurt Americans as a whole, since they’ll draw votes away from a Democratic candidate and make it more likely that Trump is elected to the White House once again.
- “Why history suggests a tidy Biden-Trump rematch in 2024 is unlikely” –Chris Reed, San Diego Union-Tribune
- “Don’t fall for any third-party baloney. It’s the last thing we need in 2024” –Nicholas Goldberg, LA Times
- “The 2024 election is a chance to write a new script” –Geoff Duncan, CNN
Sprinkles from the Right
- Some commentators argue that it’s time for America’s voters to throw out the old guard – aka elderly presidential candidates – and ensure that the US has two candidates it can be proud of.
- Others contend that American voters are clearly demonstrating that they don’t want another four years of Biden presidency, which opens the door for Republicans – or a third-party candidate – to swoop in and claim victory.
- “2024 Presidential Race: Throw the Grumpy Old Men Out” –Karl Rove, WSJ
- “America Doesn’t Want This Biden Reelection Bid” –National Review Editorial Board
- “Three warnings about the 2024 election season” –Veronique de Rugy, Orange County Register
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