The 2024 presidential race continues to take shape
Image: LA Times
Weâre about three months away from the start of the 2024 presidential election cycle, which officially kicks off with Iowaâs first-in-the-nation GOP caucus on January 15. And, much like a CFB fan tailgating before a noon kickoff, campaigning is off to an early start.
The Republican National Committee has hosted two debates in as many months, with a third scheduled for November 8 â though it still wonât include former President Trump, the current frontrunner, who has declined to attend any debates thus far.
There are currently five Republican candidates with at least 3% support among GOP voters, per FiveThirtyEightâs polling aggregator. Thatâs down from seven the last time we covered this topic in late August.
- Former President Donald Trump (August: 52% â October: 57%)
- Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (15% â 14%)
- Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley (3% â 8%)
- Former biotech exec Vivek Ramaswamy (9% â 7%)
- Former VP Mike Pence (4% â 4%)
đľ On the Democratic side: President Biden officially announced his reelection bid in April. The DNC has already committed to supporting Bidenâs reelection, and isnât planning to hold any primary debates.
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. â who initially announced his presidential candidacy as a Democrat in May but has consistently polled 45+ points behind Biden â is widely expected to switch his party affiliation to Independent in a press conference on Monday.
đĽ Head to head: In a hypothetical 2024 matchup, President Biden is currently polling slightly behind former President Trump, and slightly ahead (or better) when placed against all other Republican candidates.
đ Flash poll: If next yearâs presidential election were held today, who would you vote for?
See a 360° view of what media pundits are saying â
Sprinkles from the Left
- Some commentators argue that Democrats could and should field a better 2024 presidential candidate than Biden, since despite being the incumbent, thereâs too many valid questions over his health, age, and mental ability to do the job for four more years.
- Others contend that despite a vast majority of the American voting public not wanting to see a Biden-Trump rematch in 2024, it appears inevitable that those two candidates will be the ones to match up come next November.
- âPresident Biden should not run again in 2024â âDavid Ignatius, WaPo
- âA dystopian Biden-Trump 2024 presidential election loomsâ âSanta Cruz Sentinel Editorial Board
- ââThis Is Going to Be the Most Important Election Since 1860ââ âThomas B. Edsall, NY Times
Sprinkles from the Right
- Some commentators argue that itâs far past time that GOP presidential candidates attempted a new strategy to win votes away from Trump, since clearly whatever theyâre currently doing is only contributing to Trumpâs lead growing larger and larger.
- Others contend that Republicans would be playing right into Democratsâ hands by choosing to nominate Trump for a third straight time, as he appears to be the only candidate that could possibly lose to President Biden by alienating Independent voters in battleground states.
- âTolstoy vs. Trump in 2024â âKimberly A. Strassel, WSJ
- âDemocratsâ 2024 Plan Is Working to Perfectionâ âAndrew C. McCarthy, National Review
- âWhy 2024 presidential election outcome could lead to violenceâ âMichael McKenna, Washington Times
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