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Xi Jinping visits Washington for key US-China talks

Wednesday, Sep 23

Image: Kenny Holston

Chinese President Xi Jinping arrives in Washington, D.C., today for his first US state visit in over a decade, with Xi’s three-day agenda including official meetings with President Trump at the White House tomorrow.

How we got here: This time last year, the US and China were locked in a trade war that saw both countries impose sky-high tariffs, with Beijing also restricting exports of critical minerals used in key electronic components from EVs to fighter jets. Both countries have since backed away from those sweeping measures, while continuing to target individual companies and technologies.

So, what’s on the table?

A top priority for the US is keeping last year’s trade truce on track, under which the US has held off on new tariffs in exchange for China keeping critical minerals flowing. President Trump is expected to push Xi on those exports after a senior White House official said China’s performance has been “not up to par.”

  • America is also looking to build on investment talks from May, when Trump and Xi agreed to create a US-China Board of Investment.
  • The countries have discussed steering Chinese investment toward nonsensitive American industries, while President Trump has floated potentially building Chinese manufacturing plants in the US.

On China’s agenda: Like Trump, analysts say Xi will likely pursue an extension of the current US-China trade truce, which would give the Chinese leader time to focus on a sluggish domestic economy.

  • Xi is also expected to press the US on Taiwan, where Beijing wants Washington to take a stronger stance against Taiwanese independence.
  • China could seek further delays in US arms sales to Taiwan, after Trump previously postponed a planned weapons package following a May meeting with Xi.

The ongoing Iran war could complicate economic talks between both countries. China remains Iran’s largest oil buyer, even as the US has imposed sweeping secondary sanctions on nations who purchase oil from Iran.

AI is also a discussion point: US officials say they’ve proposed a system where Washington and Beijing would notify each other about AI incidents that rise to the level of a national security threat, though restrictions on advanced chips and chipmaking equipment wouldn’t be part of these talks.

Looking ahead…The next deadline in US-China trade talks comes November 10, when the current trade truce is set to expire, though a possible extension is on the table during this week’s talks.

📊 Flash poll: How should the US approach its economic relationship with China?

See a 360° view of what pundits are saying →

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Sprinkles from the Left

  • Some commentators argue that the US shouldn’t rely on negotiations with China to solve the risks posed by advanced AI, arguing Beijing may use safety talks to gain a competitive advantage rather than pursue meaningful cooperation. They instead believe that stronger safety standards, research, and transparency from AI companies must come first before the two countries can reach a lasting agreement.
  • Others contend that the US and China should pursue modest cooperation on AI safety even if a broader agreement remains out of reach, focusing on specific risks where both countries have an interest in preventing dangerous incidents. They argue that steps like sharing information about serious AI incidents and creating a hotline for potential crises could reduce the chances that the technology worsens tensions between the two countries.
Republican elephant symbol

Sprinkles from the Right

  • Some commentators argue that the US should build a more stable relationship with China through continued diplomacy, since cooperation has already produced progress on trade, fentanyl, and other shared concerns. They argue that regular talks can create opportunities to address larger security challenges, while reducing the risk that competition between the two countries turns into conflict.
  • Others contend that closer US-China relations are only valuable if they produce meaningful changes in China’s behavior, rather than symbolic agreements or diplomatic goodwill. Instead, the US should use its economic leverage to push Beijing to stop supporting American adversaries, stealing US technology, and using its control over critical resources to pressure other countries.
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