Within 2 weeks (3%) – "When it comes to Trump, you never really know what he has planned. Plus our military has proven very capable at destroying Iran's war capabilities, so I think Trump will see falling markets and halt the fighting soon."
2-4 weeks (8%) – "I don't think the major issues will be resolved by this time, but rather that Trump will find another major issue to occupy his attention and move on from Iran."
4-6 weeks (13%) – "This has been the timeline consistently communicated by the White House. As long as things continue to go according to plan on the battlefield, I see no reason why our stated objective won't be met."
6-8 weeks (18%) – "1. There is no US strategic plan. 2. We have no clear idea how many offensive missiles Iran has. 3. Neither China nor Russia has actively engaged - yet. 4. What are Iran's re-supply capabilities? 5. Replacement Iranian leadership remains committed to the previous regime. In short, there are simply too many unknowns."
8+ weeks (58%) – "There's even less of a plan on what we're doing than there was during the rebuilding of Afghanistan and Iraq. Those were difficult, long slogs that cost Trillions and took decades. We don't even have a plan for victory, and if we back out, we've already stirred the hornets nest. This isn't going to end just because we stopped attacking."
"It's hard to make an educated guess as to how long this war will last when the ones who initiated it have no idea themselves. If it is a war. We have heard various descriptions of what it is from the administration. Maybe it's what Putin calls "a special military operation". This resembles a chess game, at this time the pawns are falling. But the real moves are yet to come. Hopefully not on American soil."
"Though I hope it would be quicker, I think the fact that it's not over already means that it will take far longer than they had anticipated. I'm still not really sure why we are there. If it helps the people of Iran, I'm happy with that, but I think the recent nomination indicates that nothing may be accomplished by this."
❓ Our question to you: To all our prospective voters: will incumbency play a significant role in deciding your vote in primary or general elections this midterm season?
❓ Our question to you (long-form): What are your thoughts on the ongoing conflict in the Middle East?
❓ Our question to you: In general, do you support or oppose President Trump’s move to launch a joint military strike with Israel against Iran’s government?
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