Within 0-3 months (10%) – "Trump is serious about the Iran war, and realizes theye must be dealt with swiftly once and for all, probably ahead of the November midterms."
Within 3-6 months (15%) – "Both parties are stubborn. Trump has no patience. Iran is the master of the long game. Trump will not compromise until he realizes that this conflict can not be won militarily. He has been checkmated by the closing of he Strait of Hormuz. Everyone involved seems to fully understand that - except him."
Within 6-12 months (17%) – "Iranian leaders have already shown that they are not logical, or empathetic toward their people, but instead irrationally proud and power driven. The conclusion of this is that they would rather be crippled than admitting anything short of an equal compromise, which makes the current military tactics of the US honestly useless. The US failed in Vietnam for similar reasons: the Vietnamese would not loose moral and continued fighting despite extreme losses and an uneven playing field, which in the end made it too costly for the US to continue. It is likely the US will eventually withdraw simply because of the cost of continuing a conflict going nowhere."
At least 1 year (58%) – "There aren't enough conventional munitions left in the entire US stockpile to force an end to this, and the Trump administration's track record at negotiations leaves us with an equally bleak outlook. Ground action would be even more disastrous."
"I don't see an end to this conflict since it appears Iran has enough military weapons in their inventory to keep going despite what this administration claims. For Iran to keep attacking in the region after we were told we had decimated their military, it seems like this will go one for some time."
"This president went into this war without an exit plan. He can't exit and be in better shape than he was before the war started. Iran is not going to give up the Strait of Hormuz. This will be an ongoing war until at least the end of this president's term."
"I have zero faith of the Trump administration getting out of this idiotic war they started. Trump has never and will never admit to losing a single thing, whether it’s war, elections, or a World Cup he wasn’t even part of. His truly childish thinking lead the “no new wars” candidate into a new war, and the only reason it hasn’t been a bigger disaster as far as oil prices go is actually China. I expect this conflict to drag on just as all our others in the Middle East have, with the only real winners being the military industrial complex."
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